Thursday, July 27, 2006

Leading Analyst Predicts PS3 Winner

A leading analyst, Yuta Sakurai, has stated his thoughts on the console wars yet has left the X360 out of this talk. He states he sees by 2011 he sees the PS3 selling 71 million units compared to what he believes the Wii will sell 40 million units by that time. Even though he sees the Wii not selling as much as the PS3 he still has good things to say about it such as, "Software developers are increasingly interested in creating games for these Nintendo platforms." He stated that hardcore gamers would prefer the raw power that the PS3 could produce and even though all the positive stuff about the Wii it would still lose to the PS3. Source Now where the X360 fits in this equation but with both the Wii and PS3 taking up 111 million of the sales in his prediction obviously he's not seeing good stuff from the 360. Really this is a good analysis of what could happen. Will it? No clue. But curious to see what he thinks about the 360 as right now seems like he's seeing people buying a Wii and a PS3 which would go against the whole Wii60 ideal. Obviously he thinks that there are plenty of hardcore and casual gamers willing to pay the $600 just to get that slight advantage over the 360 while they'll get the Wii for the unique games it'll offer due to the control. Personally I don't think this will happen but this dude is a very well respected analyst so always got to take his opinion highly. But analysts are wrong all the time so I guess we'll find out sooner or later. But I definetly do think no matter what the Wii does that if it doesn't take first it will take a second just cause people are going to feel they need the uniquness from it. But if it can take hardcore gamers that it has, new and casual gamers, and all the other games who have a PS3 or X360 then it would be completely unstoppable. As for the 360 in this scenario if the PS3 price turns out to not be too expensive and people start buying the PS3 and a Wii which goes to the whole PSWii thing after a mockup of Wii60 then I smell doom for the 360 cause there would be no point in getting it. They'd get the PS3 for the power and blu ray player and the Wii for the uniqueness. But this can also happen the other way around with the PS3 on the bottom. Either way it'll be interesting to see what happens. Zucas

11 Comments:

Blogger Journey said...

by 2011 there will be new game systems out. I doubt VR but something close.

7/27/2006 06:33:00 PM  
Blogger SUPRAMAN84 said...

If gamers preferred raw power Mr. Analyst, then why didn't more people buy an Xbox. Hmmm, hmmm!

7/28/2006 07:43:00 AM  
Blogger SUPRAMAN84 said...

And also since the consoles sold around 150 million and the Wii will(hopefully) get more consoles out there then that, doesn't that leave the remaining marketshare to MS, with more than 40 million sales?

And since the Xbox 360 sold 5 million about halfway through the year, doesn't that mean before a killer app or even huge games like Halo mean that the Xbox 360 is on its way to sell more than 50 million. If there weren't shortages MS could have easily sold in the teens.

7/28/2006 07:46:00 AM  
Blogger PS3 Fan said...

Sales are not steady enuff for sales of Z360 to be in the teens like you put it.X360 had been out sold by a 6 year old console(PS2) 6 out of 8 months the X360 has been out.

7/28/2006 11:25:00 AM  
Blogger SUPRAMAN84 said...

And the PS2 sold over 100 million. And the 360 doesn't even have a killer app yet, not to mention it's biggest game, Halo 3. Plus we're in the summer drought.

7/28/2006 07:08:00 PM  
Blogger Journey said...

yea!! Summer drought! One thing to state.. Microsoft is slow on the free demo releases. It's supposed to release the demo before the game comes out. It released the DOA4 demo wayy too late.

7/28/2006 09:07:00 PM  
Blogger SUPRAMAN84 said...

That's the company's fault. Look at Lost Planet demo, released more than half a year before the game.

7/29/2006 08:39:00 AM  
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